Categories: Asteroids

Asteroid Threat Upgraded to 1 in 45

The probability that Asteroid 2004 MN4 will strike the Earth on April 13, 2029 has actually been upgraded to a 1-in-43 chance now that more observations have been made. The asteroid has reached an uprecedented 4 on the Torino scale. Of course, this still means that there’s a 98% chance that it’ll completely miss the Earth. The space rock is 400 metres (1,300 feet) across, so a direct impact with our planet would cause a significant amount of damage on a regional level. Update: as of Dec. 28th, the probability has been significantly downgraded thanks to further observations. It’ll definitely miss.

Fraser Cain

Fraser Cain is the publisher of Universe Today. He's also the co-host of Astronomy Cast with Dr. Pamela Gay. Here's a link to my Mastodon account.

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