Should We Really Tell ET Our Problems?

by Ian O'Neill on April 21, 2009

The design etched to the Pioneer probes. The first interstellar pornography? (NASA)

The design etched to the Pioneer probes. The first interstellar pornography? (NASA)

So, you have a radio transmitter and you’ve been tasked to send a message into space to try to communicate with a hypothetical alien civilization. Where do you begin? Probably high on your list is to seek out the best candidate stars to send a signal to. As we only have experience of life on Earth, it’s a pretty good idea to look for Sun-like stars, as for all you know, that is the only place where Life As We Know It™ could exist.

So now you have found the potential location of an alien civilization, what message should you send? Firstly you’d probably want to make a good impression; perhaps sending directions to Earth, a universal map with an arrow pointing at the Solar System. Secondly you might want to identify what/who you are (insert some human physiology here). And third? Perhaps you’d consider sending information about our culture, civilization, history, science; all the good stuff that makes us human.

Would it cross your mind to mention there are 23 bloody conflicts going on right now amongst our own kind? Would you think about telling our potential alien neighbours about what you just had for dinner? Would it be a good idea to tell them about the political corruption in your country, the vast poverty worldwide or the ecological damage we are doing to our own home?

In a recent article written by the director of interstellar message composition at the SETI Institute, the question about communicating honestly with ET, without sanitizing the truth, is asked. Should we really tell an alien civilization about our problems?

Communication with potential alien races is a tricky business (Ian O'Neill)

Communication with potential alien races is a tricky business (Ian O'Neill)

For five decades, the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence (SETI) has been scouring the skies for any signal from an intelligent alien civilization. This is a painstaking task that requires much patience and lots of ingenuity. After all, what are we looking for? Assuming extraterrestrial civilizations have worked out how to transmit radio, perhaps we could listen out for that. Unfortunately, apart from the 72 second Wow! signal in 1977, it all seems very quiet out there. If the Drake Equation is to be taken literally, the Milky Way should be teeming with life, some of which should be transmitting their greatest hits right now. There are problems with this theory, as some believe that although aliens might be transmitting, radio signals might not reach us. Perhaps then a sufficiently advanced alien race might be using powerful laser beacons or moving stars to communicate with us. Alas, nothing. Yet.

OK, so let’s turn this around. Perhaps we’ll have more luck if we start transmitting radio signals to Sun-like stars in the hope of an alien race as advanced as ourselves receiving it. This program is known as Messaging Extraterrestrial Intelligence (METI) or “Active-SETI.” But what do we say? One of the earliest messaging attempts was the plaque bolted to the side of the Pioneer spacecraft (pictured top), even though the naked human figures representing male and female caused a stir (some groups considered the naked human form interstellar pornography). Despite a few disputes about what we should be sending into space, generally the messages have been very positive, trying to portray the human race in a very positive light.

Douglas Vakoch, from the SETI Institute in Mountain View, California, disagrees with the policy of sending only positive messages into space via radio transmissions or metal plaques strapped to the sides of spaceships.

An acknowledgment of our flaws and frailties seems a more honest approach than sending a sanitised, one-sided story,” Vakoch said in a recent New Scientist column. “Honesty is a good starting point for a conversation that could last for generations.”

As the director of interstellar message composition, Vakoch obviously knows a thing or two about sending messages to our potential alien neighbours. However, the question as to whether or not we should sanitize our communications seems a little strange. Of course we should transmit the best mankind has to offer! I don’t believe sending messages of culture, science, mathematics, art and music would be setting us up for a fall. If we are indeed the new kids on the block of extraterrestrial civilizations, I think we’d need to make a great impression (depending on whether ET understands what we are trying to communicate in the first place).

The 1977 Wow! signal (SETI)

The 1977 Wow! signal (SETI)

Vakoch is keen to point out that a sufficiently advanced alien civilization is going to be savvy as to what it takes to be a a galactic race (it’s not all roses after all). If they receive a message from mankind full of positive messages, perhaps they won’t trust us. Worse still, as they get to know us, they think we were hiding our human flaws, misleading them in some way. Therefore, we need to be honest up-front. We need to send the views and opinions of as many people as possible, for good or bad, so extraterrestrial civilizations know what they are dealing with; a talented, yet flawed race.

Unfortunately, that goes against human nature. What’s the first thing you do when moving into a new neighbourhood? You might throw a house-warming party, as a way to introduce yourself to the new neighbours. You probably wouldn’t tell your neighbours about your family/money/alcohol/drug/criminal problems at the party. If you did, you might find the room emptying very quickly. It’s not that you are being dishonest, you’re trying to gain their first-impression trust and interest. This principal holds true for companies trying to sell a product (I have yet to have a doorstep sales person telling me his encyclopaedia collection is actually useless when the world has Wikipedia) and to countries forming new diplomatic ties. We know there’s more to the story than just first impressions, but first impressions are the bonds that help develop the relationship in the future.

Assimilation could be ET's solution to human problems

Assimilation could be ET's solution to human problems

So going back to being honest with messaging alien civilizations, if we send “the truth” about our race, we would actually be doing ourselves a disservice. What if the receiving alien civilization doesn’t want to be associated with us as we are considered too aggressive, cruel, greedy or weird?

We can’t second-guess how an extraterrestrial civilization is going to respond to us, there is no precedent of alien communications, so perhaps we should take the “sanitized” approach. Positive information is probably enough information; too much information could turn us into interstellar outcasts before we’ve even had a chance to receive a message from another star. (I thought it was a little too quiet out there, perhaps they received our commercial TV signals.)

And if the advanced alien race deems us “not worthy” on account of the mixed signals we are sending out, they might turn hostile sooner rather than later

  • Chuck R.

    @Laymen; Hmm, I don’t know about such an entity I described (which at this time I do not believe does) would actually have a mindful investment in us any more than it would the life of an asteroid or the fate of a star. Ted pretty much summed up what I was getting at with “Chuck, I think if there is a creator he or it or whatever may not care much about us earthlings. I don’t believe in God, but maybe a creator.” While everything does seem to work in cycles, giving the chance for a creator (an intelligent design at work within the universe as it would be a part of said universe) to guide the winds of fate and karma (the whole what goes around comes around bit), that’s mere speculation, which is why I stressed at only such possibilities for this entity while denouncing the man-made gods and their authority over the life of men. Until science can prove it, I’m sticking with the atheist route. The one that allows for logic, learning, and real understanding of the universe, our planet, and our people without trying to dictate behavioral do’s & don’ts with condemning authority since its all really socially acceptable and socially unacceptable behavior at work in our current civilization. I don’t believe in a creator at this time, but remain open to the possibility of a non-relgion-associated intelligent designer, pending evidence. Sorry if that all wasn’t clear, I do tend to pour out the ramble when saying something.

  • Vagueofgodalming

    Here’s what went wrong:

    July 2006, the aliens intercept Pioneer correctly decode the message, and set off in the right direction.

    August 2006, the IAU declassifies Pluto.

    September 2006, the aliens turn up, take a look, see that there’s one less planet than on the Pioneer plaque, decide this can’t be the right place, and zoom right on by.

    IAU, what have you done?

  • Bosco

    Chuck R. Yes to all the above. You are absolutely certifiably off you meds. Get over being an atheist. Get over your leftwing guilt ideology. Quit the drugs before posting. Get professional help, all you are doing is self projecting your self loathing onto the entire human race. You think you are an atheist but … you are still angry about it, you are STILL praying for God to come rescue the world (you). It’s an alien God but a God none-the-less.
    Most of your post was illogical and barely rational. For instance, you, rightly insist the universe is incredibly vast, then we are a nothing special, insignificant mudball, then we are going to infect the cosmos like cancer. So what is it? Is the universe smaller or we are indeed so special we can infect the entire cosmos?
    And you incredibly negative view of humanity. Geebus guy. Who pissed in your Coco Puffs? Twice, you seemed to suggest the ending of humanity wouldn’t be a bad thing. And you wonder why there are wars? Gosh do you think that kind of thinking might be part of it?

  • Chuck R.

    How about you get over yourself? It seems you’re reading my words with some imagination of a man sitting there screaming this stuff. Don’t. Relax, read slowly, imagine kicking back in a lounge chair in the living room having a beer with the guy saying these things in a thoughtful, conversational voice with the game on in the background. I could get into the fact no I don’t take medication, but that’s always been such a pathetic jab for one stranger to take to another with no actual personal knowledge of one another. I, given yes I’m an atheist and do pay attention to people & the things they do as well as give attention to world events, do see quite clearly how humanity treats itself daily. And that treatment, like – say – someone actually taking time out of their personal life to use false claims and personal insults in a sad attempt to do nothing more than denounce an individual’s personal view on a subject, pans out into a building hurricane of self destruction as time for our species goes on. Absolutely. I can appreciate the good in life with the best of them and do. I find the good in everything from my marriage to a good meal out, from the joy of my son to a good laugh with some stand up comedy special, from walks through the park to the honor of helping a person in need. But just because there is good doesn’t somehow negate the bad in life or humanity, nor should it make one willingly blind to it. But, perhaps I’m wrong and there is no such thing as war, or rape, or murder, or falsehoods throughout or world from the dawn of our history. What a wonderful reality you must live in be it that the case.

    The idea of aliens coming to save us is fiction. Hypothetical fiction in relation to the subject of the article at hand. I pray to no one and nothing, never been a hope for the best after asking thin air for favors kind of guy, no. I do sincerely apologize if my ideas have offended you, or if in your haste to scan through my typings you skipped here & there thus making the text seem illogical & irrational (which it obviously isn’t on either account). But I would like to point out that with your confirmation of “Yes to all the above” you’re stating that you are bothered (to a disturbing degree) that we should (or that someone thinks we should) broadcast openly about or world to the far reaches of space for better or worse, that it would be a likely possibility (or that someone thinks it would be a likely possibility) that a race of beings advanced enough in their technology to travel through space with ease might have the technology to solve a number of crisis on Earth be it biological, environmental or social, that the universe is (or that someone thinks the universe is) BIG enough for the Earth to at best be a grain of sand on a beach by comparison, and that humanity is (or that someone thinks – rightly – that humanity is) a destructive species.

    I am glad we seem to agree that the universe is vast (even though that prior mentioned all of the above would seem to indicate otherwise, but I get it, you were just attacking blindly, it happens – especially on the internet). Very vast indeed. The epitome of the word it would seem. But, given the track record of man’s use of resources, exhausting them before moving on to the next with some worry but rarely an action toward consequence, yes I imagine that were man to ever spread somehow beyond our Earth, to other stars, such behavior would continue. I don’t think it a threat to the entire cosmos, only what we would eventually come into contact with. But, then again, I don’t see such a scenario as a liklihood at all given the limitations set on space travel.

    Truth be told, I don’t think humanity will ever experience alien contact of any kind, certainly not face to face. Were we to run with the idea that life (as we might recognize it and compare it to ourselves similarly) is so low in its chance at occuring, given there are billions of stars in our galaxy alone, and that the universe are accumulated into many layers of organization beginning with star clusters, which coalesce in galaxies, which are members of galaxy clusters, which are in turn members of superclusters, which are in turn members of super-superclusters, all the way up to one of the largest features in the universe, a galactic supercluster, and taking into account that all we’ve seen from images taken in space is merely what visible light is available to us at our position in the cosmos, a worst case scenario would put any low estimate of other life out there into numbers that could still wow us. Yet due to the limitations on space travel, the distances we’re talking to the next star much less another system that would house intelligent life, even a high number of possible other civilizations would probably be forever out of our reach, and vice versa.

    This whole article and (what should be) discussion on the matter is a logical consideration on an improbable imagining. My original post in this commentary section was meant to be insightful, challenging, and honestly grim, but done so humorously. Since you’ve taken it the wrong way, as though it’s some praying to an alien God to come kill us all and meant quite literally – its sole purpose for existing to be an offense against you to the point of you posting commentary like “seriously dude, get help” & “who pissed in your Coco Puffs”, again I apologize. With that said, cram it.

    And for the record, I prefer Cookie Crisp. Piss free.

  • Tony

    The first post on this forum was mine. I ended my thought with the hope that a visitor may have understanding of us, and may even pitch in to help. Nothing wrong with that. It is not a dream or anything, just an imagination based on the revelations science has given us.

    We are not here by chance, or mistake. The ingredients for life are everywhere, and not just on Earth. We are finding life here on earth in the strangest, most hostile enviroments.

    Seems that some of us believe that there is no sense asking the question of what we should say if we have an encounter. Mostly because of the distance. This may be an issue for our minds today, but what about other being who decided to spend their energy not building weapons and crap consumer products; instead they focused on more meaningful persuits.

    If math is the key to unlocking the universes, then maybe they have math way beyond our selfish thoughts. Maybe, our communication makes us appealing to another more curious world.

    And far as religion getting in the way of this conversation, it is scary to have to rethink your whole life with beliefs in God. I know several clergy, and they have admitted that they are the most sceptical to God because they are the closet to the topic. One told me it is just a bussines. Personally, if what I see with my own eyes does not fit and look symetrical; then I move on to a better topic for my curiosity. To further put this into context, I am named after my great uncle, an Italian priest. But the schools I attended was very progressive, unlike my parents catholic private school.

    When one gets all emotional about this yopic, it is because people are scared. It is schocking to learn that everything you know is wrong. There is denial, anger in lashing out;. We build walls up around us that are so high, we never get much practice with good communication with each other. Furthermore these walls prevent us from seeing our environment either. This is why when one is forced to deal with a large trauma, often other hidden things in our closet come out at the same time.

    If you can grasp these human behaviors, you would either make a very great bussinesman, or a even greater political activist. For me, this is how I became an activist, after many years of running from family abuse, I decided to stop and see what the deal was. Alchool addiction, and domestic abuse offer a great window into seeing how we behave, and enable each other; and denial. When someone crams an idea down your throat, it is usually because they themselves feel uncomfortable with the idea. A person becomes a phychologist because they had such a hard time dealing, they made a proffession of it. This is not healthy behavior.

    I would prefer we all argue, instead of be quiet and pretend with each other. At least this is movement.

    Tony

  • Tony

    This is how I imagine it. The visitors see us with special telescopes from far beyond. They use time in a way we do not understand, and are now within our television transmissions from our first broadcasts. They get cold feet, and decide to hang out at the edge of our reach. The last person they would want to talk with is our public servants. They pick some homeless person, and focus a radio transmission to the TV in the store window as this person passes by. No one believes this person when he/she tells others. So they move the spaceship just above earth, with shields up. Send a small team to pick up this homeless person to be brought to the ship. Here the truth comes out. They learn about our emotions, who we are really deep inside. They then find out that our children are pure, and good; that is before we adults make them bitter. The aliens see our condition as a disease. They give us truth in slow doses, and the people here on Earth begin to see again. Some of us are asked to go back with them; while some of them stay. We find a better way to use our energy here on Earth. We evolve by use of this symbiotic relationship as all nature evolves.

    Then you look at the clock, and see it is late. You turn off the TV.

    No serious, this is a great exercise for humanity. How would you judge yourselves. Would you change if hope was tangiable.

  • Layman

    Ok I hereby withdraw my comment that talking about “GOD/Creator” on this site would not make peoples heads spin. I stand corrected and admit the error of my ways!

  • Ted C.

    Thanks for your thoughts guys, oh and just for the record, I prefer, hearing voices puffs, no piss, with handfuls of meds washed down with a tall glass of crazy juice. haha.. This is a touchy subject but the questions are the greatest of all questions. It’s the 900 lb. gorilla in the room. Leave it to us humans to think we are at the center of the question.

  • Bosco

    Your ideas don’t offend me, I simply recognize them as the ranting of a lunatic. Denying you asked for Aliens to come and judge Humanity is simply a lie. You said, it’s in black and white. Now you lie about it. Either you are a moron, think I am, or you are friggin nuts. Whatever the case is it gives anything else you might have said zero value. Come back when you grow up.

  • Chuck R.

    Of the two of us, very honestly, you’re the troll that hopped into a topic with nothing to offer but offense to someone, so if you feel the need for one of us to go, get lost yourself. Fantastic how you ignore more and more what was said, whittling down to less and less to complain about. I’m very serious when I say that you have issues. I’m not nuts, nor a moron, or a liar, and yes I’m believing more and more that you are, unfortunately.

    No, indeed, I did not in black, white nor any other color call out to the heavens saying “Please alien Gods! Come and judge us!”

    I said, in black & white, “OR, natch, they COULD just zap us to bits which, and I mean this (when the full view of our history and current events concerning rape, murder, patriotic murder, molestation, lies, incest, ignorance, intolerance, torture, abuse, bigotry, religion, hate, infidelity, anger, anger and more anger, mutilation, theft, etc), would probably be for the best. The human race, despite any perceived global good intentions and kind little acts performed occasionally by neighbors or friends or family, is very self-destructive & hateful to one another. We’re a cancer to ourselves, a cancer to the planet, I see no immediate reason to assume we’d be otherwise on the cosmos. ZAP!”

    Which was “meant to be insightful, challenging, and honestly grim, but done so humorously”. I cannot help but wonder if you realize the nature of the subject in this topic, and of the presence of other posts on the matter. It seems you wandered onto a website at random, ignored the article, glued eyes on a few words of a random post without actually reading it and attempting to get the tone, took it too literally (perhaps a bad perception of reality on your part, especially what with the whole apparent thing about you not being able to acknowledge the evils of the world as said prior) and commenced to spend your personal time typing up ignorant, unfounded, dimwitted insults that have zero comprehension concerning the posts they’re attacking.

    You want a liar? Check the nearest mirror.

    Chuck R.: What irked you exactly? *examples given*

    Bosco: Yes to all the above.

    *later*

    Bosco: Your ideas don’t offend me.

    In just a few posts I see quite clearly you’re quite ignorant, socially inept, contradictory, quick to offense & offend, and have little grasp of reality, maybe even a reading deficiency. While your prior “get help” jab was a lame attempt at an attack, I offer the same advice back, but as actual advice.

    And since we’re quoting ‘old’ stuff, here’s one for the road. “Since you’ve taken it the wrong way, as though it’s some praying to an alien God to come kill us all and meant quite literally – its sole purpose for existing to be an offense against you to the point of you posting commentary like “seriously dude, get help” & “who pissed in your Coco Puffs”, again I apologize. With that said, cram it.”

    Freakin’ nutter.

  • Lawrence B. Crowell

    The space alien is a modern version of an anthrotype, or projection of ourselves onto the world or universe. Flashing light in the sky were thought to be angels in the medieval world, now people see UFOs. The space alien is basically a space-aged version of a demiurge or god. They come in both benevolent forms (Speilberg’s ET) and malevolent forms (the Geiger alien or HG Well’s martians), just as there are angels and demons in prior ideation along these lines.

    As such the whole matter of ET’s is semi-religious, which while SETI is sort of astronomy the same holds. Religion brings about heated disagreements, because nothing can be settled or determined by reason. We have zero data on ETs, and I suspect chances are fair to decent data will remain zero permanently. It is then interesting to not the acrimony which has developed over this matter.

    Lawrence B. Crowell

  • Chuck R.

    “We have zero data on ETs, and I suspect chances are fair to decent data will remain zero permanently.”

    Exactly. In the end I don’t believe what any individual might feel we should broadcast, given any estimation of distance for a hypothetical alien world I doubt any signal produced by man would ever reach them, period.

    “The space alien is a modern version of an anthrotype, or projection of ourselves onto the world or universe. Flashing light in the sky were thought to be angels in the medieval world, now people see UFOs.”

    Perhaps. I do feel the subject of theorizing on extraterrestrial life has its place in science & logic, with religion being anything but. Still, given the limitations on any possibility of transversing the galactic expanse for us or another imagined species, that would make those UFOs just that. Unidentified flying objects and not space aliens visiting n’such, which would make one wonder if another ideal will be imprinted on such & similar unexplained phenominon in, say, another thousand years, and what that ideal would be.

  • Covenant

    Eloquent, Tony, to say the least. :)

    “Ben – Aren’t we getting ahead of ourselves here?”

    Yuppers. I think many are looking at this the wrong way. Provided all these signals being sent, and all these hopes of ones being sent from other areas of the universe, are all actually able to not die out in transit and fade into background noise before disappearing entirely, limited info is best. It’s not editing the truth of ourselves as a people, not withholding bad info on us at all, but in the small chance something we send out gets picked up, I’d sure as heck think it better we inform them on things like our location, our biology, not our obvious and very real downfalls. Chances are we’ll never meet face to face, not even with millions of years advancement I’d guess, so if we’re to send a message to fellow beings out in the cosmos let’s be informative and positive eh?

    “Lawrence B. Crowell – The space alien is a modern version of an anthrotype, or projection of ourselves onto the world or universe.”

    I can’t agree with that fully. When speaking of pure science fiction for entertainment, sure, but minds that tend to ponder over actuality in these matters I think tend to stay a bit more open-minded. I forget whom but once, when asked about sketches of supposed aliens that were claimed to have visited Earth with their skinny grey bodies, big heads and large black almond eyes, his response was, “This is the what the universe has to offer? How boring,” or something damn near exact to that effect. The point is, methinks the folks that truly get a kick out of this stuff not only understand but are secretly hopeful that life to be found beyond Earth would be something far different from us. I see it more a social grouping inevitability that would arise no matter the species or its conditions. Animals herd, humans gather & populate, either way its community or civilization. It takes little imagination to assume anything living, out there in the stars, evolving as an entity & species would have some semblance to us, if not in form (likely not, in fact) than certainly in function. Now don’t crucify me for that, as I will acknowledge there’s plenty of loonies in our modern society that think they’ve been abducted, probed, been in contact with extraterrestrials here for us. And that they have their own oddball social groups that hope for some kind of saving from the world of today, no in fact they believe they’ve been told such will happen. Now that’s the fairest comparison to the delusional fairy tales of religion. But then I don’t see such people here at all. And personally speaking, in the half of one in a bazagilliontrillion chance they are being abducted and probed, methinks its really just so the aliens can keep their machinery warm. ba’dum, ting!

    Chuck R., can’t help but agree with you on most points, as usual.

    And Bosco? Dear fark are you the biggest troll I’ve seen in some time. Did CHUCK piss in YOUR Coco Puffs or something? I mean really, musthafa fag says “We of the Taliban Space Cadets say “Death to all Aliens!” AIEEEE!”, friends says “They would only want to know whether we taste better broiled, raw, or roasted”, and SciFi Si jokes “The best way to avoid fear of the unknown it to nuke ‘em!” but you single out Chuck heavily, with no provocation, and zero intelligence or maturity. You have no points to make, nothing to add to the discussion, you’re just a jerkoff, so STFU already.

  • Mars A. Saurian

    Bosco: Whatever the case is it gives anything else you might have said zero value.

    LOL, what a pathetic cop out to owning up to everything else he poignantly said. You took something in the wrong light and continue to do so for little more than the sake of throwing some immature fit directed at someone you don’t even know. Going back reading the four or five posts of yours here it seems like your just a reprehensibly whiny douche. I hope you’re nicer to people in your offline life since I can’t see anyone putting up with you otherwise. YOU grow the hell up man, or woman, who the hell knows or even cares.

    Tony: How would you judge yourselves. Would you change if hope was tangiable.

    Farfetched as your scenario is, I think anyone’s honest judgement of themselves or their fellow man would be harsh. I did say “honest judgement”. But hellz yeah, if their were a TANGIBLE hope at hand I think anyone would jump at the chance for change, for something better than what they have.

    Speaking of which, while I love the SETI program and what it hopes to achieve, I will be amazed if the human race ever lives to see a signal, period. Our own piddly radio transmissions are, what, one hundred light years out by now? You know how friggin ginormous THE UNIVERSE is?? Yeah I totally think theres life other than our own out there. In fact I think the universe is teeming with it. TEEMING! But the small radius our signals will achieve? Yeah don’t hold your breath. Even if our signals are flying out there in every direction, strong as the day they were broadcast and totally discernible from any other detectable “noise” the universe is putting off, the odds of those signals hitting something that WILL detect it are nil. Of all the stars our very first radio signals may have had a chance to reach by now, there’s a low chance any of those few just happen to be habitable. But let’s say eight of them are, right? Just for example, nothing more. Eight of them. Fine, so three of them bear favorable planets for life, but its all still in a primordial state when our signals begin passing. Well, they’re more than a few millions of millions of years away from being estimated to even have the possibility of technology and mind to LOOK for our signals. We could all be dead by then, then they’ll wonder if there’s anyone out there and why they can’t hear their signals if there were. Then you got a couple of opposites going on. One, the species entirely destroyed themselves and their surface world with war the likes of which I hope mankind will never see. THEY ain’t looking for radio signals. Then there’s the other one of those couple where famine and plague are just about done rendering their race extinct. Maybe it was something they created that got out of hand, maybe the planet just wiped them out with a new strain of biological toxin, who the hell knows. All I know is they aren’t searching for a “WOW” signal like we are. One of the last remaining three is in their stoneage, signals just passing on by a sentient species never to be detected because Aungerasok the three armed green barbarian is busy hitting Lanuth mongrels with rocks. And the last two? One, advanced to the point of us but either not looking, or not listening in the right spot. Maybe they swung their “ears” in just the right direction at just the right time one day to catch a faint remnant of one of our stronger signals, had THEIR own “WOW” moment, and somewhere on their worldwide communications system there’s fellas talking just like us, doubting our existence and that of Aungerasok as well, wondering what they should say back to us should the chance ever come. Hell, maybe the “WOW” signal was theirs? And the last one? A highly advanced culture. They were visiting the other worlds of their solar system while T-rex was still chomping dinomeat here. They’ve come up with technological advances our science fiction can only dream of. They detected our first signals the moment they made their way into their system. And they don’t even care. They have themselves, they have balance, they have each other, why would they care about us?

    Food for thought.

  • Lawrence B. Crowell

    Covenant: When speaking of pure science fiction for entertainment, sure, but minds that tend to ponder over actuality in these matters I think tend to stay a bit more open-minded.
    ———————-

    The spatial extend of the universe might be infinite. as it is asymptoting to a de Sitter configuration. This means that anything which is not strictly forbidden is manditory. So ETs are out there I would imagine.

    The question is what is the average density, say ETs per galaxy? I suspect this is not too high. I partly base this on some analysis I did of extrasolar systems and chaos to estimate how many life bearing planets similar to Earth there might be in our galaxy. The bayesian analysis on Lyapunov exponents gave ~ 1-10 thousand. Now heap onto this the probability that one or more of them might on the time as defined by a spatial frame (Hubble frame) has intelligent life. I suspect the probability is pretty low.

    If there are ET in our galaxy we will probably contact them via radio. I doubt that interstellar travel is likely, at least not outside of sending probes to nearby stars. The SETI people are then making a huge gamble for the payoff of the century in finding ET, but where I suspect the odds are stacked against them.

    Lawrence B. Crowell

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