Keplers 1200 Planet candidates by size. Credit: NASA/Wendy Stenzel

Kepler Discovers First Earth Sized Planets inside Habitable Zone

Article Updated: 26 Apr , 2016

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With the startling new finding of dozens of Earth-sized extrasolar planets, NASA’s Kepler planet hunting space telescope has just revolutionized our understanding of Earths place in the Universe and the search for Extraterrestrial Life. And the historic science discovery is based on data collected in just the first few months of operation of the powerful telescope as it scans only a tiny portion of the sky.

The discovery of 1235 new extrasolar planet candidates was announced today (Feb.2) by NASA and Kepler scientists at a media briefing. 68 of these planet candidates are Earth-sized. Another 288 are Super-Earth-size, 662 are Neptune-size and 165 are Jupiter-size. Most of these candidates orbit stars like our sun.

Even more significant is that 54 of the planet candidates are located within the ‘habitable zone’ of their host stars and 5 of those are Earth-sized. Before today we knew of exactly ZERO Earth-sized planets within the habitable zone. Now there are 5.

Finding a ‘Pale Blue Dot’ or ‘Second Earth’ inside a habitable zone that harbors water and environmental conditions that can support life is the ‘Holy Grail’ of science.

Are We Alone ?

“We went from zero to 68 Earth-sized planet candidates and zero to 54 candidates in the habitable zone – a region where liquid water could exist on a planet’s surface. Some candidates could even have moons with liquid water,” said William Borucki of NASA’s Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, Calif.. Borucki is the science principal investigator for NASA’s Kepler mission.

“Five of the planetary candidates are both near Earth-size and orbit in the habitable zone of their parent stars.”

Earth-sized water worlds are the most conducive to the formation and evolution of alien life forms. Water is an essential prerequisite for life as we know it.

“Kepler’s blown the lid off everything we know about extrasolar planets,” said Debra Fischer, professor of Astronomy at Yale University, New Haven, Conn

Kepler's over 1200 planet candidates as of Feb. 1, 2011. Credit: NASA/Wendy Stenzel

Kepler is the first NASA mission capable of finding Earth-size planets in or near the habitable zones around their parent stars. The mission uses the transit method to detect the tell tale signatures of planets. The goal is to determine how common are planets the size of Earth orbiting inside the habitable zone of stars like our sun.

Kepler measures the miniscule decreases in the brightness of stars caused by planets crossing in front of them and blocking the starlight. Imagine calculating the difference in light transmission caused by a flea sitting on a cars headlight.


Follow up observations over a period of several years will be required to confirm these results, the scientists explained. Astronomers expect that over 80% of the candidate planets will be positively confirmed as real planets by utilizing ground based observatories and the Spitzer Space Telescope.

For an Earth-sized planet orbiting a sun-like star inside the habitable zone, transits occur about once per year. Since three transits are required to verify a planets status, it will therefore take about three years to reach a definitive conclusion.

These remarkable new planet discoveries are based on observations from only the first four months of Kepler’s telescopic operations – May 12, 2009 to Sept. 17, 2009. The space based observatory continuously monitors more than 156,000 stars using 42 CCD detectors with a field of view that covers only 1/400 of the sky.

“Kepler is making good progress towards its goals,” said Borucki

“We have found over twelve hundred candidate planets – that’s more than all the people have found so far in history.”

“Imagine if we could look wider. Kepler looks at one 400th of the sky. If we had 400 of these fields of view, we’d see 400 times that number of candidates. We would see 400,000 candidate planets.”

Keplers over 1200 Planet candidates sorted by size

“The fact that we’ve found so many planet candidates in such a tiny fraction of the sky suggests there are countless planets orbiting stars like our sun in our galaxy,” Borucki amplified. “Our results indicate there must be millions of planets orbiting the stars that surround our sun.”

“If we find that Earth’s are common in the habitable zones of stars, very likely that means life is common around these stars.”

“Kepler has shown that planetary systems like our own are common,” said Debra Fischer.

Planets in Keplers Field of View.
Before and after the discovery of over 1200 planet candidates by NASA’s Kepler Space Telescope.

“The search for planets is motivated by the search for life,” Fischer added.

“We have allowed the public to participate though the website Planethunters.org,” she added. “And now we have over 16,000 dedicated users. The public is excited to be a part of research and history.”

“Thanks to Kepler for this treasure chest of data!” Fisher concluded.

Kepler is just the first step in finding Earth sized and Earth like planets. “We are building the foundation for future generations of explorers,” said Borucki.

“Future missions will be developed to study the composition of planetary atmospheres to determine if they are compatible with the presence of life. The design for these missions depends on Kepler finding whether Earth-size planets in the habitable zone are common or rare.”

The first planets beyond our solar system were discovered in 1995. Up to today there were just over 500 known extrasolar planets.

Kepler now has 15 confirmed extrasolar planet discoveries and over 1200 possible candidates.

In January 2011, Kepler confirmed the discovery of its first rocky planet, named Kepler-10b. The molten world measures just 1.4 times the size of Earth and is the smallest planet ever discovered outside our solar system.

NASA’s Kepler spacecraft was launched on March 6, 2009 from Launch Complex 17-B atop a Delta II rocket at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station in Florida. See spacecraft and launch photos below

Kepler’s science operations are currently funded for three and one half years of operations until November 2012. The mission’s lifetime – and its goal of discovering multitudes of new planets as small as Earth – can be extended if NASA funding is approved by Congress and the President.

William Borucki – Explains Keplers Discovery of Earth Sized Planets
Science principal investigator for NASA’s Kepler mission, NASA’s Ames Research Center

Video Caption: NASA’s Kepler mission has discovered its first Earth-size planet candidates and its first candidates in the habitable zone, a region where liquid water could exist on a planet’s surface. Five of the potential planets are near Earth-size and orbit in the habitable zone of smaller, cooler stars than our sun.

Kepler also found six confirmed planets orbiting a sun-like star, Kepler-11. This is the largest group of transiting planets orbiting a single star yet discovered outside our solar system. Located approximately 2,000 light years from Earth, Kepler-11 is the most tightly packed planetary system yet discovered. All six of its confirmed planets have orbits smaller than Venus, and five of the six have orbits smaller than Mercury’s.

What is an Earth like planet ? Explantion here

David Charbonneau, an exoplanet researcher at Harvard University, explains what scientists mean when they say “earthlike planet” and “super Earth.” This interview was recorded at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center on December 10, 2010, by NASA science writer Daniel Pendick.

Kepler Mission Star Field
An image by Carter Roberts of the Eastbay Astronomical Society in Oakland, CA, showing the Milky Way region of the sky where the Kepler spacecraft/photometer will be pointing. Each rectangle indicates the specific region of the sky covered by each CCD element of the Kepler photometer. There are a total of 42 CCD elements in pairs, each pair comprising a square.
Credit: Carter Roberts / Eastbay Astronomical Society.

Kepler's target region in the Milky Way. Credit: Jon Lomberg

Kepler being prepared in the clean room at Astrotech
prior to launch on March 6, 2009. Credit: nasatech.net

More Kepler photos courtesy of nasatech.net here

Delta 2 rocket streaks to the heavens.
Launch of NASA’s Kepler planet hunting space telescope from Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, FL, Complex 17, on March 6, 2009 at 10:49 p.m. Credit: Ben Cooper

Ben Cooper Featured on Astronomy Picture of the Day (APOD); March 9, 2009

Launch Pad 17 B and a Delta II rocket
from my perch on the 8th floor of Launch Pad 17 A as rocket is encased in launch tower. Credit: Ken Kremer

View of Launch Complex 17 B and cryogenic storage tanks by Ken Kremer

NASA’s Kepler Media Briefing on Feb. 2, 2011

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Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
fernando
Member
February 2, 2011 11:34 PM

Many Blue dots…
Carl you were right!

Split_Infinity
Member
Split_Infinity
February 3, 2011 1:03 AM

I think it’s a shoo-in that their funding will be extended smile

SteveZodiac
Member
SteveZodiac
February 3, 2011 1:57 AM

No less momentous for being expected, the possibility that we have somewhere else to live is a radical shift in our perception of the universe. The real seismic event will be the first pictures of blue seas and white clouds and then green stuff on the land and the tell-tale spectrum of organic life. 1000 light years is currently an impossible distance though, how far away is the nearest candidate?

Ted Judah
Member
Ted Judah
February 3, 2011 4:59 AM

This is really exciting. I have a strong feeling that the final results of the Kepler mission will change everything. We will have solid numbers to plug into the Drake equation. We will have specific candidate planets for further study as well as a strong incentive to fund those studies. Nearby stars will be next to be surveyed. By the time my child grows up I hope to know that there are dozens of life-infested worlds out there being studied.

Jon Hanford
Member
Jon Hanford
February 3, 2011 5:23 AM

Excellent article putting Kepler’s new exoplanet discoveries into perspective. How lucky we are to see the rise of a new field, exoplanet astronomy, and the future looks bright indeed!

The article notes the first planets beyond the solar system were discovered in 1995 (around the *star* 51 Pegasi, presumably). But planets orbiting the *pulsar* PSR B1257+12 were discovered in 1992: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PSR_B1257%2B12#Planetary_system

Aqua4U
Member
February 3, 2011 9:29 AM

Hmm… 68 earthlike planets observed in a selection group of approximately 156,000 stars. That’s only .000436% Yet Astronomers estimate that there are 200 billion to 400 billion stars in the Milky Way galaxy… so lets use 300 billion X .000436 = 130,769,231 stars possible with earthlike planets. Now lets say that only 1/100 of those stars might exist in stable planetary systems and then another 1/100 orbit stable stars of whatever classification. That leaves 13,077 candidate star systems in our galaxy….. The numbers keep improving!

Torbjorn Larsson OM
Member
Torbjorn Larsson OM
February 3, 2011 2:43 PM

You are missing some observation bias factors.

– Kepler can only see transits from our perspective, so ~ 3-5 % of actual systems with planets.

– Candidate systems will tend to have stable systems (mainly because they are single planets).

– Candidate stars will tend to be stable (mainly because a) they are stable enough for transit methods b) they have planets).

You underestimate with many orders of magnitude, see alternative estimates below.

trevortombe
Member
trevortombe
February 3, 2011 3:00 PM

The fraction of planets with orbital planes aligned for a keeper detection declines with the radius of the orbit. I have seen one estimate that one in 1,500 planets with one AU orbit are detectable. So, to have a few dozen habitable zone planets translates into thousands!! These results also mean that practically every star has planets, and likely many planets! Very exciting stuff.

Greg
Member
Greg
February 3, 2011 6:41 AM

This was the expected result. Good to see though. There are likely many more smaller planets not being detected which is why the data is skewed to larger ones. Also the data is skewed towards closer and shorter orbits due to the short observing time. That will change if the observatory remains functional for 3 years. Any way you look at it, the data is impressive and should inspire more detailed missions.

Dark Gnat
Member
Dark Gnat
February 3, 2011 7:06 AM

Awesome. This is very exciting. I hope a star map will be available so that we can see what stars these planets orbit, their distance and whether there is any patterns relative to star composition.

Great job on the article too!

Peter
Member
Peter
February 3, 2011 7:45 AM

Keep in mind that as Kepler uses the transit system, it’s only noting planet orbits aligned with our view. Has anyone done the math to get the number of actual planetary systems this suggests? I would think you could multiply by many hundreds to come up with the appropriate number. As well, if we’re looking for TRULY earthlike planets, then their orbit will take much longer to confirm. Clearly, we are one of many, many worlds and it’s only a matter of time before we do find the holy grail, which is not earthlike worlds in the habitable zone but worlds with life.

Greg
Member
Greg
February 3, 2011 4:53 PM
The answer to your question is a bit complicated since the chance of a proper alignment with a planet and Kepler such that the planet passes in front it’s star from Kepler’s perspective depends in part on how close the planet is to it’s star. The chance of Earth sized planet 1 AU from it’s host star being properly aligned is 3/1000. If it is is located at Mercury’s distance 8/1000. If it is located at Mars’ distance then it goes down to 2/1000. This calculation only relates to alignment and not orbital period. Even if properly aligned an Earth-sized planet can still be missed (or at best unconfirmed) if it is more than 1 AU away if… Read more »
ello
Member
ello
February 3, 2011 8:32 AM

Kool, now we only need to get the warp drive machine ready to take a trip smile

Don Alexander
Member
Don Alexander
February 3, 2011 8:42 AM

CANDIDATES!!!

Everybody quieten down a bit. wink

I’ll await confirmation – if it is even forthcoming with today’s instruments.

Tim McDaniel
Member
Tim McDaniel
February 3, 2011 9:35 AM

Quibble / snark:

“Before today we knew of exactly ZERO Earth-sized planets within the habitable zone.”

Off by one there. Humans discovered it in prehistoric times. It happens to be exactly the same size as Earth, and exactly the same shape, and looks exactly the same. I’m even posting from it.

sukhoi4700
Member
sukhoi4700
February 3, 2011 10:59 AM

After the Gliese g drama hope that this turns out to be true…. Have full faith in NASA.

Olaf
Member
Olaf
February 3, 2011 11:24 AM

Gliese g dama?
There is no Gliese g drama.

fractal
Member
fractal
February 5, 2011 2:43 PM
Uncle Fred
Member
Uncle Fred
February 3, 2011 11:07 AM
Wow this is incredible. I did some quick math here. I am by no means math savvy. Please feel free to poke holes in this estimate: Question: Given Kepler data, how many planets with life should we expect to find within 1000 light years? What we know: 5 Candidate habitable zone planets, 1000 light years, 1/400th of the sky, 4 months of observations. Lets say that 1 out of every 5 candidate Earth sized planets is confirmed. Lets assume that Kepler is not missing any transits at this planet size range (highly unlikely but lets be conservative). Lets assume we are interested in observing transits up to 1.5 Au. Thus we would need to extrapolate Keplers findings to… Read more »
Leonard
Member
Leonard
February 4, 2011 5:38 PM

Excellent analysis! But I think we´re still dealing with big holes in the ecuation, about the chances of life and intelligent life to arise and about the number of exo-moons of gas giants in the habitable zones…

Uncle Fred
Member
Uncle Fred
February 4, 2011 10:56 PM

Agreed. I think going through what little data we have right now is only satisfactory in a sense that it demonstrates the potential numbers are looking very good.

UF

Astrofiend
Member
Astrofiend
February 3, 2011 12:44 PM

That’s it – fund Terrestrial Planet Finder now. We need something in the works that can actually study these puppies.

Also a thought – all of these Earth-sizers must be around red dwarfs right, or they wouldn’t have had time to get multiple transits? Or is that why they’re calling them candidates at the moment – they’ve had one pass with the signature light curve of a planetary transit but are now awaiting second and third passes to confirm?

Torbjorn Larsson OM
Member
Torbjorn Larsson OM
February 3, 2011 2:48 PM

Candidates need independent verification, as is the case for all earlier acknowledged observations.

Though it seems in the case of the 6 planet system that independent effects may suffice. (Here planets tugging on each other and affecting transit timing models, besides the pure transit effects.) I believe Kepler data is used “twice” for them (haven’t checked the paper)!?

Torbjorn Larsson OM
Member
Torbjorn Larsson OM
February 3, 2011 2:36 PM
Yowza! Happy days! My turn to play the numbers game; it’s fun and educational. # of habitable planets: The Kepler mission projects 80 – 95 % of candidates being confirmed as real planets; the most optimistic number from the most experienced member. So, going by the first release projection of ~ 30 % of systems having planets, the Milky Way @ 100 – 500 Gstars will have ~ 0.3*50/1200*10^11 ~ 10^9 planets in the habitable zone and ~ 10^8 habitable planets (from 5 terrestrials out of ~ 50). # of inhabited planets: I will be using a first order testable Poisson model for abiogenetic attempts. With life observed @ ~ 1 Gy out of ~ 5 Gy, the… Read more »
Torbjorn Larsson OM
Member
Torbjorn Larsson OM
February 3, 2011 2:59 PM

Oops, misplaced the decimal point here: ~ 0.01 star/ly^3.

Uncle Fred
Member
Uncle Fred
February 4, 2011 12:03 AM

Excellent stuff Torbjorn.

A couple questions: Did you account for the % planets Kepler would miss if they did not have orbits that permitted Earth visible transits?

Also, did you extrapolate Kepler findings to account for transits that would be likely discovered beyond 4 months? I figured up to 18 months would be enough time to observe all transits from worlds with similar orbits to our own.

Finally, does either of the above points matter?

Using your calculations, what is the probable distance to the first inhabitable planet? Regardless of its star type, orbit, or development of lifeforms.

UF

Greg
Member
Greg
February 3, 2011 9:56 PM
The Kepler data is going to be a gold mine for papers and doctoral thesis papers considering how many planets it has already found. I was thinking that with so many discoveries that there is going to be a large enough sample to draw some conclusions with a reasonable degree of certainty (low enough p value or reasonably narrow confidence interval) about planets are found and in what confoguration around different classes of stars. To me this is where the data can get very interesting. Can I expect planetary systems around a yellow dwarf to be different than around a red dwarf, or a class A star? One thing that has already stood out at me is the… Read more »
Lawrence B. Crowell
Member
Lawrence B. Crowell
February 4, 2011 5:40 AM
I have to take Torbjorn Larsson OM to task on these projections. Potentially the most Earthlike of the lot found is likely Kepler-268 which has an estimated radius of 1.75 times the Earth, a year of 110 days and it sits at 0.41 astronomical units from its parent star. This should give it an estimated surface temperature of 295 degree Kelvin or 22 degrees Celsius. The one problem though is this planet may not have a stable thermal environment. The planet may turn out to have life, but in order for it to have complex life I think the environment must be sufficiently stable, with only punctuated chaotic periods. On Earth conditions are similar to that, where there… Read more »
Drunk Vegan
Member
February 4, 2011 1:32 PM
^ It is humbling to think that in the 15 years since the first planets were found (around a sun-like star anyway) we’ve gone from behemoths that couldn’t possibly support human life, to a candidate that we should theoretically be able to stand on without cold weather protection. (Breathing is another matter though as who knows whether it has an atmosphere at this point). Where will we be 15 years from now? Heck, even within 5 years we should have a good sample of the atmospheres of these worlds, assuming the Terrestrial Planet Finder or a similar mission is launched. Finding another planet that is habitable for humans is no longer a matter of if, it’s really just… Read more »
Stephen
Member
Stephen
February 14, 2011 8:21 PM
None of these planet candidates are genuinely comparable with the Earth, as none has an orbital period greater than 100 days. The orbital period of Venus, a planet which is outside the habitable zone in our system, is 224 days. That of Mercury is 88 days. So nine-tenths of these candidates are closer in to their star than Mercury is to ours. The likelihood of life is dependent upon a planet being in an orbit around a main sequence star, because only such a star is stable for geological eons, the time life took to evolve on Earth. But no planet orbiting a main sequence star is going to escape being fried if it is – relatively speaking… Read more »
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