The Milky Way Could have Billions of Earths

by Nicholos Wethington on February 16, 2009

Exoplanets like the Earth might be more common than we think. Image Credit: ESO

Exoplanets like the Earth might be more common than we think. Image Credit: ESO

With the upcoming launch in March of the Kepler mission to find extrasolar planets, there is quite a lot of buzz about the possibility of finding habitable planets outside of our Solar System. Kepler will be the first satellite telescope with the capability to find Earth-size and smaller planets. At the most recent meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) in Chicago, Dr. Alan Boss is quoted by numerous media outlets as saying that there could be billions of Earth-like planets in the Milky Way alone, and that we may find an Earth-like planet orbiting a large proportion of the stars in the Universe.

“There are something like a few dozen solar-type stars within something like 30 light years of the sun, and I would think that a good number of those — perhaps half of them would have Earth-like planets. So, I think there’s a very good chance that we’ll find some Earth-like planets within 10, 20, or 30 light years of the Sun,” Dr. Boss said in an AAAS podcast interview.

Dr. Boss is an astronomer at the Carnegie Institution of Washington Department of Terrestrial Magnetism, and is the author of The Crowded Universe, a book on the likelihood of finding life and habitable planets outside of our Solar System.

“Not only are they probably habitable but they probably are also going to be inhabited. But I think that most likely the nearby ‘Earths’ are going to be inhabited with things which are perhaps more common to what Earth was like three or four billion years ago,” Dr. Boss told the BBC. In other words, it’s more likely that bacteria-like lifeforms abound, rather than more advanced alien life.

This sort of postulation about the existence of extraterrestrial life (and intelligence) falls under the paradigm of the Drake Equation, named after the astronomer Frank Drake. The Drake Equation incorporates all of the variables one should take into account when trying to calculate the number of technologically advanced civilizations elsewhere in the Universe. Depending on what numbers you put into the equation, the answer ranges from zero to trillions. There is wide speculation about the existence of life elsewhere in the Universe.

To date, the closest thing to an Earth-sized planet discovered outside of our Solar System is CoRoT-Exo-7b, with a diameter of less than twice that of the Earth.

The speculation by Dr. Boss and others will be put to the test later this year when the Kepler satellite gets up and running. Set to launch on March 9th, 2009, the Kepler mission will utilize a 0.95 meter telescope to view one section of the sky containing over 100,000 stars for the entirety of the mission, which will last at least 3.5 years.

The prospect of life existing elsewhere is exciting, to be sure, and we’ll be keeping you posted here on Universe Today when any of the potentially billions of Earth-like planets are discovered!

Source: BBC, EurekAlert

  • Chris

    one step closer to proving creationism is poop yeah !

  • Jenny Sixpack

    i want a pet nibbler!

  • Astrofiend

    # Chris Says:
    February 17th, 2009 at 1:58 pm

    “one step closer to proving creationism is poop yeah!”

    You reckon finding other Earth-like planets with life on them will dissuade creationists huh? Gotta love an optimist!

  • Simon

    Dr. Boss sure knows how to draw attention to himself, maybe this will help him get more funding in the future.

  • Frank Glover

    “PROBABLY POSSIBLY MAYBE SPECULATE LIKELIHOOD PROBABLE…WORDS, WORDS, WORDS (thank you, Hamlet).”

    You want certainty? Build a starship (or at least a telescope with a mirror 100 miles across) and go see for yourself.

    In the meantime, we have to work with the best data we have. And there’s nothing wrong with reasoned speculation based on that data, as long as you remember that reasoned speculation is all it is…

    “Our existence is not evidence of life being probable.”

    No, only that it’s possible.(‘Zero?” I don’t know about you, but I think, therefore, I am.)

    The possibility is reason enough to look for more data points, and make the best estimate you can as to where they may be found. Then, as noted above, go find them.

    Unless you accept UFOs, proof doesn’t seem in a hurry to come to us…

  • Salacious B. Crumb

    Still waiting for them to find the first one, let alone the billionth one!
    But what do we do with them when we find them or catalogued them? Sure astrophysically and astronomically it might be important for our understanding of the universe, but what do you do with them once you find them? Visiting them remains out of the question probably for millennia, if at all, due to the sheer immensity of space.
    Next we will be hearing complains that these planets are out there and government is hiding and covering up information about all the aliens that are living there!

    Life bad enough on Earth, why make the rest of the universe just as miserable?

  • robbi

    Salacious B. Crumb- LMAO-if these ‘conspiracy’ thinkers quit using drugs and watch these ‘conspiracy’ TV programs, and watch the Science and Discovery channels, they will find even if we found a planet with ‘aliens’ in the Alpha Centari system at 1.34 parsecs, or 4.37 light year distance, the communications will be very boring!!!The speed of the Voyager at 17.1 km/s or 61.600km/h may seem fast, but after almost 32years of travel,is only 14.8 light hours away-it will be a very boring journey as it will take about 50k years to get at that distance!!!!. Then these ‘conspiracy’ thinkers will think the government has a nuclear powered vehicle already made-geeez,even if it can be made which is centuries away, the ‘fuel’ will require a mass of 10–20x of the craft! Even if the craft can reach 10% SpeedOfLight, still over 50 years 1 way journey, very boring, and perhaps the craft would need a 24meter shielding of lead to protect against hydrogen particles smashing into the front of the vehicle in so call
    ‘empty space’ besides the dangers of the nuclear power plant. As far as I’m concerned, it is best advanced lifeforms out there is too far away from each other and has a finite life before becoming extinct.

  • IKE:) the Alien lifeform

    …is there anybody out there?… your PINK FLOYD asked the right Question.
    Chances are (;)and I am living proof, haha), that life CAN + MUST exist out there.
    If there are vastly advanced civilizations and look at this planet, it is probable, that they conclude: well, let’s wait until they either become extinct, or manage to live with the environment, not at its cost.
    A.C. Clarke made it clear in SPACE ODYSSEY’s 2001/10: the carbon copies have just not fathomed what is needed to be respected by other alien lifeforms…
    May the creator(s) bless you “CARBON COPIES”!

  • BadGuy1981

    well, our only example is our solar system. We have one habitable planet orbiting one sun. So we could ASSume that for every star out there, there is at least one habitable planet in orbit….. what if our example is the rule, and not the exception?!

  • Chris

    lets just hope the missionaries keep away

  • Salacious B. Crumb

    Chris said: February 18th, 2009 at 6:19 pm
    lets just hope the missionaries keep away

    LMAO, too.

  • feraligatr8

    “lets just hope the missionaries keep away” ROTFLOL the last thing we want is christian aliens

  • Tim Cabell

    Forget traveling to these far away places, just knowing something other than earthlings are out there would change everything, perpectives, views, ideologies just to name a few. With the number of stars alone there has to be something. Surprise me!

  • sexxygirl

    the Milky Way might be at least 46 billion light years away from Earth it’s self!
    The milky way is the best thing to do a report on!!!

    TTYL

  • clone troopers are hot

    milky milk !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    whats the fastest way to get milk!!!!!!!!!!!

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